Young Americans

In the wake of my recent posting about the politics of map-making in the recent election, Barry Ritholt sent me an interesting collection of maps he's been gathering, representing different slices of data -- including population densities, how previously-slave-owning states voted versus non-slave-owning ones, and tax transfers (i.e. how taxes from the blue states props up the fragile, dying economies of the red states).
But the most interesting map of all? How youth voted. That map above shows who would have been elected had the election been decided solely by people age 30 and under -- and it is, of course, Kerry by a landslide. After making a big hullaballoo about the importance of this year's youthquake, hipster activists were a bit chagrined to discover that the percentage of the electorate that were young remained at 17 per cent, precisely the same as in 2000. It's not that the youth vote did not increase in size. In fact, it grew: About 20.9 million Americans under 30 voted this time around, about 51.6 per cent of those eligible; that's 4.6 million more than in the last election, when only 42.3 per cent of eligible young voters went to the polls. The problem is, while the youth vote went up, so did the amount of voters in every other age bracket, meaning that youth's overall percentage of the national vote stayed the same.
Still, it's worth looking at that map and pondering what the future holds. This is not to say that as today's young voters age, they'll remain the same ideologically; they could well become more conservative with age. And, as an intriguing study by the JFK School of Government recently discovered, college-age voters have a complex stew of driving forces, ranging from religion to cultural pluralism.
Posted by Clive Thompson at November 17, 2004 02:08 AM
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For a good discussion of some of the things we can expect out of today's young people as they age (and it's good news, by the way), check out Millennials Rising: The Next Great Generation by Howe and Strauss (authors of the excellent—and chilling—The Fourth Turning, which I also highly recommend).
Posted by: Fishy at November 17, 2004 9:43 AM
Excellent -- I'll check it out!
Posted by: Clive at November 17, 2004 10:41 AM
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For a good discussion of some of the things we can expect out of today's young people as they age (and it's good news, by the way), check out Millennials Rising: The Next Great Generation by Howe and Strauss (authors of the excellent—and chilling—The Fourth Turning, which I also highly recommend).
Posted by: Fishy at November 17, 2004 9:43 AM
Excellent -- I'll check it out!
Posted by: Clive at November 17, 2004 10:41 AM