Equation determines Jan. 23 is "worst day of the year"

Is this the suckiest week of the year? It ought to be, according to Cliff Arnall, a professor at Cardiff University. Arnall, an expert on seasonal depression, has authored the equation you see above, which calculates the "most depressing day of the year". This year, it was January 23rd -- Tuesday. Last year, the equation offered up Jan. 24th as the buzzkiller of the year, so this week is clearly haunted.
The equation works thusly: You apply it to each day of the year, and calculate the values. W stands for weather, D for your level of debt, d for your monthly salary; T is "time since Christmas" and Q for the amount of time since you last failed in an attempt to quit smoking. (Smoking? Well, Arnall's British.) M is your "low motivational levels" and NA is the "need to take action." The gist of it is, if the weather is really bad, you have high debt, and it's been a while since your last failed attempt to stop smoking, the numerator gets high, boosting the day's depression rating. If your motivation and ability to take action plummets, the divisor shrinks, creating the same effect. As MSNBC reports:
Arnall found that, while days technically get longer after Dec. 21, cyclonic weather systems take hold in January, bringing low, dark clouds to Britain. Meanwhile, the majority of people break their healthy resolutions six to seven days into the new year, and even the hangers-on have fallen off the wagon, torn off the nicotine patches and eaten the fridge empty by the third week. Any residual dregs of holiday cheer and family fun have kicked the bucket by Jan. 24.
"Following the initial thrill of New Year's celebrations and changing over a new leaf, reality starts to sink in," Arnall said. "The realization coincides with the dark clouds rolling in and the obligation to pay off Christmas credit card bills."
Obviously, the variables in the equation are personalized, so Arnall's proclamation of Jan. 23 as the singlemost depressing day might not hold true for you. More obviously yet, this doesn't seem to be even vaguely scientific since Arnall doesn't offer any data to back up his equation, his association with Cardiff University seems to be ungoogleable, and the whole thing smells like a PR endeavour.
I still don't care. I am such a sucker for pseudo-precise equations that purport to clarify everyday life.
Posted by Clive Thompson at January 25, 2007 11:02 AM
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There is actually an entire book of such equations, called "Geek Logik: 50 Foolproof Equations for Everyday Life". I haven't actually read the book, but it sounds hilarious, with equations that purport to answer 'Can I still wear tight jeans?' and the like.
Posted by: Sam at January 25, 2007 11:46 AM
AWESOME.
Okay, now someone needs to build all these equations into an online app, so that we can simply go to the web site, pump in our variables, and instantly get the answers.
Posted by: Clive at January 25, 2007 1:28 PM
Ooooh, don't know if this is good or bad news for me, seeing my boyfriend left me on January 20. On the good side I can now imagine my depression has nothing to do with him at all, and he doesn't have any effect on me. On the bad side, I'm in for a horrible time.
Posted by: eke at January 26, 2007 9:03 AM
Yikes! But yes, it's always helpful when an equation can offer psychic comfort.
Posted by: Clive at January 26, 2007 12:23 PM
January 23 is my sister's birthday, so naturally I forwarded this entry to her. She wrote back that the equation's creator had left out the very important IMB (it's Mary's birthday) factor and that, once that factor has been added to the denominator, Jan. 23 becomes not only the best day of the year, but of the entire century.
I tried it, but apparently the IMB is a very subjective factor. I'm still cold, in debt, and depressed by lack of sunshine. Slightly cheered, however, that my sister is back to being two years older than me.
Posted by: Sarah at January 29, 2007 3:33 PM
A friend of mine has noticed that this is the time when attendance at the gym drops off - because everyone gives up on their New Year's resolutions. (Plus, Jan 20, my birthday, has not been a banner day in recent years, and not only because of my advancing age, it's also US Inauguration Day).
Posted by: btl35 at January 30, 2007 1:01 AM
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There is actually an entire book of such equations, called "Geek Logik: 50 Foolproof Equations for Everyday Life". I haven't actually read the book, but it sounds hilarious, with equations that purport to answer 'Can I still wear tight jeans?' and the like.
Posted by: Sam
at January 25, 2007 11:46 AM
AWESOME.
Okay, now someone needs to build all these equations into an online app, so that we can simply go to the web site, pump in our variables, and instantly get the answers.
Posted by: Clive
at January 25, 2007 1:28 PM
Ooooh, don't know if this is good or bad news for me, seeing my boyfriend left me on January 20. On the good side I can now imagine my depression has nothing to do with him at all, and he doesn't have any effect on me. On the bad side, I'm in for a horrible time.
Posted by: eke
at January 26, 2007 9:03 AM
Yikes! But yes, it's always helpful when an equation can offer psychic comfort.
Posted by: Clive
at January 26, 2007 12:23 PM
January 23 is my sister's birthday, so naturally I forwarded this entry to her. She wrote back that the equation's creator had left out the very important IMB (it's Mary's birthday) factor and that, once that factor has been added to the denominator, Jan. 23 becomes not only the best day of the year, but of the entire century.
I tried it, but apparently the IMB is a very subjective factor. I'm still cold, in debt, and depressed by lack of sunshine. Slightly cheered, however, that my sister is back to being two years older than me.
Posted by: Sarah
at January 29, 2007 3:33 PM
A friend of mine has noticed that this is the time when attendance at the gym drops off - because everyone gives up on their New Year's resolutions. (Plus, Jan 20, my birthday, has not been a banner day in recent years, and not only because of my advancing age, it's also US Inauguration Day).
Posted by: btl35
at January 30, 2007 1:01 AM